{"id":7849,"date":"2019-05-05T04:13:29","date_gmt":"2019-05-04T20:13:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lixiangluntan.com\/7849.html"},"modified":"2019-05-05T04:13:29","modified_gmt":"2019-05-04T20:13:29","slug":"%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%e8%b6%85%e7%ba%a7%e7%ae%97%e6%b3%95_%e5%a4%a7%e6%99%ba%e6%85%a7%e8%bd%af%e4%bb%b6%e7%a0%b4%e8%a7%a3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lixiangluntan.com\/?p=7849","title":{"rendered":"\u80a1\u5e02\u8d85\u7ea7\u7b97\u6cd5_\u5927\u667a\u6167\u8f6f\u4ef6\u7834\u89e3"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u3000\u5e02\u573a\u89c1\u5e95\u7684\u4e94\u5927\u7279\u5f81\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48<\/p>\n

    \u4e00\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u5e95\u5148\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u5e95\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u5386\u53f2\u5df2\u7ecf\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u8fd9\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

     <\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u80a1\u5e02<\/strong>\u8d85\u7ea7\u7b97\u6cd5<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u3000\u3000\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u66f2\u7ebf<\/p>\n

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\u3000\u3000\u8fd0\u884c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u201c\u7ebf\u6027\u81ea\u9002\u5e94\u5f0f\u5faa\u73af\u201d\u6a21\u578b\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u4e2a\u753120\u53f0Linux\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e00\u79cd\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3aAdaBoost\u7684\u201c\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u201d\u7b97\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u662f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5206\u652f\uff0c\u800c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ecf\u5e38\u88ab\u8bef\u7528\u6216\u8bef\u89e3\u7684\u53d1\u6563\u6027\u672f\u8bed\u3002\u867d\u7136\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7b49\u540c\u4e8e\u6709\u611f\u77e5\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u7535\u8111\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u300a\u7ec8\u7ed3\u8005\u300b\uff08Terminator\uff09\u7cfb\u5217\u7535\u5f71\u4e2d\u7684\u5927\u53cd\u6d3e\u201c\u5929\u7f51\u201d\uff08SkyNet\uff09\u6216\u8005\u300a2001\u592a\u7a7a\u6f2b\u6e38\u300b\uff082001\uff1a A Space Odyssey\uff09\u4e2d\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u7535\u8111\u54c8\u5c14\uff08HAL 9000\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5b9e\u8df5\u4e2d\uff0c\u8c37\u6b4c\uff08Google\uff09\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\u7ffb\u8bd1\u670d\u52a1\u3001Netflix\u7684\u7535\u5f71\u63a8\u8350\u5f15\u64ce\u6216\u8005\u82f9\u679c\u7684Siri\u865a\u62df\u52a9\u624b\u7b49\u65e5\u5e38\u5de5\u5177\u90fd\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u91cf\u5316\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5229\u7528\u65e5\u76ca\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u5f7b\u5e95\u89e3\u6784\u6570\u636e\u5e76\u53d1\u6398\u51fa\u83b7\u5229\u673a\u4f1a\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4f46\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u8d70\u5f97\u66f4\u8fdc\u3002\u4ece\u672c\u8d28\u4e0a\u8bb2\uff0c\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u7b97\u6cd5\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5145\u6ee1\u6d3b\u529b\u7684\u201c\u751f\u547d\u4f53\u201d\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u626b\u63cf\u5927\u578b\u6570\u636e\u96c6\ufffdD\ufffdD\u5982\u80a1\u4ef7\u3001\u6c14\u8c61\u6a21\u5f0f\u3001\u76c8\u5229\u7535\u8bdd\u4f1a\u8bae\u8bb0\u5f55\u3001Facebook\u5e16\u5b50\u6216\u8005\u8c37\u6b4c\u641c\u7d22\u8bb0\u5f55\ufffdD\ufffdD\u5e76\u5728\u5608\u6742\u4e2d\u5206\u8fa8\u51fa\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4f0a\u5229\u8bfa\u4f0a\u7406\u5de5\u5b66\u9662\uff08Illinois Institute of Technology\uff09\u91d1\u878d\u5b66\u52a9\u7406\u6559\u6388\u9a6c\u4fee\uff1f\u8fea\u514b\u68ee\uff08Matthew Dixon\uff09\u5c06\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u4f7f\u6df7\u4e71\u6700\u5c0f\u5316\u7684\u4f18\u5316\u673a\u5668\u201d\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u533a\u5206\u9999\u8549\u4e0e\u82f9\u679c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u5e76\u5c06\u5b83\u4eec\u5206\u7c7b\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u4ee5\u6559\u4e00\u53f0\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u4ece\u96f6\u5f00\u59cb\u3001\u8fc5\u901f\u638c\u63e1\u5982\u4f55\u73a9\u4e00\u6b3e\u300a\u8d85\u7ea7\u9a6c\u91cc\u5965\u300b\uff08Super Mario\uff09\u4e4b\u7c7b\u7684\u6e38\u620f\u3002\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u4e8e\u5206\u6790\u201c\u975e\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u6570\u636e\u201d\uff0c\u5982\u4e71\u4e03\u516b\u7cdf\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u4ee5\u53ca\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u901a\u5e38\u96be\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u56fe\u50cf\u548c\u89c6\u9891\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u8fd9\u9879\u6280\u672f\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5168\u65b0\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5982\u4eca\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u5e94\u7528\u5230\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u201c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u524d\u666f\u7684\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u201d\u7f57\u6bb7\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f60\u627e\u5230\u4eba\u7c7b\u6c38\u8fdc\u53d1\u73b0\u4e0d\u4e86\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u4f60\u5e26\u6765\u5de8\u5927\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u5f53\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u5386\u4e1a\u5185\u4eba\u58eb\u6240\u79f0\u7684\u201c\u4f53\u5236\u53d8\u9769\u201d\u3001\u800c\u4e4b\u524d\u4fe1\u8d56\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u4e0d\u518d\u9002\u7528\u65f6\uff0c\u91cf\u5316\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u906d\u9047\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u6311\u6218\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5f80\u5f80\u88ab\u8bc1\u660e\u662f\u65e0\u7528\u7684\ufffdD\ufffdD\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u3002\u4eca\u5929\u8fd8\u8d5a\u94b1\u5982\u6d41\u6c34\u7684\u7b97\u6cd5\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u6216\u8bb8\u660e\u5929\u5c31\u4f1a\u5931\u7075\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4ea4\u6613\u4f18\u52bf<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u7b97\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u81ea\u4e3b\u8fdb\u5316\u5e76\u641c\u5bfb\u65b0\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5f53\u5929\u3001\u5f53\u5468\u6216\u5f53\u5e74\u594f\u6548\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\u505a\u51fa\u8c03\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ecf\u7406\u53ef\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u5b83\u4eec\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5de5\u5177\uff08\u6bd4\u5982\u7b5b\u67e5\u4eba\u5de5\u65e0\u6cd5\u5bdf\u89c9\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\uff09\u6765\u6539\u5584\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u6d41\u7a0b\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u751a\u81f3\u8ba9\u5b83\u4eec\u81ea\u52a8\u5f00\u53d1\u7b56\u7565\u548c\u8fdb\u884c\u4ea4\u6613\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5bf9\u4e8e\u91cf\u5316\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1Man AHL\u7684\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u5c3c\u514b\uff1f\u683c\u5170\u6770\uff08Nick Granger\uff09\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u201c\u4f60\u4f1a\u770b\u89c1\u5b83\u81ea\u4e0b\u800c\u4e0a\u5730\u521b\u5efa\u76f4\u89c9\u822c\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u5e76\u6839\u636e\u6709\u6548\u7b56\u7565\u5207\u6362\u98ce\u683c\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u6210\u529f\u5730\u5229\u7528\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6709\u5174\u8da3\u5bf9\u5176\u52a0\u5927\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u7f3a\u9677\u3002\u91cf\u5316\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u7684\u6700\u5927\u6311\u6218\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u62df\u5408\u201d\uff08overfitting\uff09\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fc7\u4e8e\u590d\u6742\u6216\u7f16\u7801\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u7b97\u6cd5\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5e9e\u6742\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u53d1\u73b0\u8c8c\u4f3c\u5408\u7406\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u6216\u9519\u8bef\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e00\u7bc7\u540d\u4e3a\u201c\u4f2a\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u201d\u7684\u535a\u5ba2\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728\u7f05\u56e0\u5dde\uff0c\u4eba\u9020\u9ec4\u6cb9\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u4e0e\u79bb\u5a5a\u7387\u5bc6\u5207\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u800c\u5c3c\u514b\uff1f\u51ef\u5947 \uff08Nick Cage\uff09\u7684\u7535\u5f71\u4e0e\u6cf3\u6c60\u6eba\u4ea1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5373\u4fbf\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u5f88\u597d\uff0c\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u65f6\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5d29\u6e83\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u81ea\u8eab\u4e5f\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u4ea4\u6613\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u9ad8\u76db\uff08Goldman Sachs\uff09\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u91cf\u5316\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u5965\u65af\u66fc\uff1f\u963f\u91cc\uff08Osman Ali\uff09\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u89e3\u6784\u6c14\u8c61\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u5230\u5929\u6c14\uff0c\u4f46\u8fdb\u884c\u5e02\u573a\u4ea4\u6613\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u5230\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5373\u4fbf\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4ea4\u6613\u7b97\u6cd5\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u50cf\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e00\u6837\u8fdb\u884c\u521b\u9020\u6027\u601d\u7ef4\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u5371\u673a\u65f6\u523b\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u822a\u7a7a\u822a\u5929\u5c40\uff08NASA\uff09\u524d\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u3001\u73b0\u5728\u4f9b\u804c\u4e8e\u8d1d\u83b1\u5fb7\u201c\u79d1\u5b66\u4e3b\u52a8\u80a1\u7968\u6295\u8d44\u201d\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\uff1f\u8d1d\u8328 \uff08Brad Betts\uff09\uff0c\u5c062009\u5e74\u5207\u65af\u5229\uff1f\u8428\u4f26\u535a\u683c\uff08Chesley Sullenberger\uff09\u9a7e\u9a76\u98de\u673a\u7d27\u6025\u8feb\u964d\u4e8e\u54c8\u5fb7\u900a\u6cb3\u89c6\u4e3a\u4eba\u80dc\u8fc7\u673a\u5668\u7684\u8303\u4f8b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u91cf\u5316\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u5bf9\u4e8e\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\uff08\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff09\u662f\u5426\u662f\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u7684\u201c\u5723\u676f\u201d\u4ecd\u6301\u6000\u7591\u6001\u5ea6\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b83\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u3001\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u5c0f\u73a9\u610f\u513f\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4eec\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u7ec4\u5408\u8d77\u5230\u8865\u5145\u4f5c\u7528;\u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b83\u591a\u534a\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u806a\u660e\u7684\u8425\u9500\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u771f\u6b63\u9769\u547d\u6027\u7684\u53d1\u660e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u201c\u4eba\u4eec\u603b\u662f\u6e34\u671b\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u627e\u5230\u8d5a\u94b1\u7684\u65b0\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u5f0f\u5e76\u975e\u603b\u662f\u594f\u6548\u3002\u7a7a\u8bdd\u6613\u8bf4\uff0c\u65f6\u9ae6\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u4e00\u6587\u4e0d\u503c\uff0c\u201d\u91cf\u5316\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u6e29\u987f\u8d44\u672c\uff08Winton Capital\uff09\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u6234\u7ef4\uff1f\u54c8\u4e01\uff08David Harding\uff09\u8bf4\u3002\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4eba\u7684\u5927\u8111\u5c24\u5176\u64c5\u957f\u6a21\u5f0f\u8bc6\u522b\uff0c\u201c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u4eba\u8138\u3001\u4e09\u89d2\u5f62\u7269\u4f53\u8fd8\u662f\u7231\u60c5\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u7ba1\u7406\u975e\u5e38\u9002\u5408\u501f\u52a9\u65e8\u5728\u53d1\u73b0\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u7535\u8111\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6025\u4e8e\u4f7f\u7528\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u70ed\u95e8\u7b97\u6cd5\u53bb\u505a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u672a\u6765\u7ed3\u5408\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u4f1a\u50cf\u6e21\u6e21\u9e1f\u4e00\u6837\u6d88\u5931\u5417\uff1f\u90a3\u4e5f\u672a\u5fc5\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u6765\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u5c06\u66f4\u5177\u6311\u6218\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000Two Sigma\u7684\u6234\u7ef4\uff1f\u897f\u683c\u5c14\u8bf4\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e0d\u6613\u3002\u201c50\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e00\u540d\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u6216\u8bb8\u80fd\u591f\u901a\u6653\u505a\u597d\u6295\u8d44\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u6240\u6709\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u4ee5\u540e\u518d\u4e5f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd9\u6837\u4e86\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u3000\u3000\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4e00\u53f0\u8d85\u7ea7\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u5982\u4eca\u53ef\u4ee5\u51fb\u8d25\u56fd\u9645\u8c61\u68cb\u5927\u5e08\uff0c\u4f46\u4e8c\u8005\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u8f93\u7ed9\u4e00\u4f4d\u62e5\u6709\u4e00\u53f0\u666e\u901a\u7b14\u8bb0\u672c\u7535\u8111\u4ee5\u53ca\u8c61\u68cb\u6a21\u62df\u7a0b\u5e8f\u7684\u4eba\u7c7b\u68cb\u624b\u3002\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u6765\u5168\u7403\u6700\u6210\u529f\u7684\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u96c6\u56e2\u4e4b\u4e00\ufffdD\ufffdD\u6587\u827a\u590d\u5174\u79d1\u6280\uff08Renaissance Technologies\uff09\u524d\u6267\u884c\u8463\u4e8b\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\uff1f\u5f17\u96f7\uff08Robert Frey\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u7684\u672a\u6765\u3002\u5f17\u96f7\u76ee\u524d\u7ecf\u8425\u7740\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u201c\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u57fa\u91d1\u201d\uff08FOF\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u77f3\u6eaa\u5206\u6821\uff08State University of New York at Stony Brook\uff09\u6559\u6388\u8ba1\u91cf\u91d1\u878d\u5b66\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u8ba9\u4eba\u8111\u548c\u7535\u8111\u5206\u522b\u505a\u5404\u81ea\u64c5\u957f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u4e8c\u8005\u7684\u7ed3\u5408\u5c06\u5341\u5206\u5f3a\u5927\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

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