{"id":163867,"date":"2019-04-10T09:29:49","date_gmt":"2019-04-10T01:29:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lixiangluntan.com\/163867.html"},"modified":"2019-04-10T09:29:49","modified_gmt":"2019-04-10T01:29:49","slug":"%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e4%ba%94%e5%8d%87%e4%b8%89%e9%99%8d%e6%98%af%e6%b3%a2%e6%b5%aa%e7%90%86%e8%ae%ba%e7%9a%84%e5%9f%ba%e7%a1%80_%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%a8%e8%bd%af%e4%bb%b6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lixiangluntan.com\/?p=163867","title":{"rendered":"\u5206\u6790\u4e94\u5347\u4e09\u964d\u662f\u6ce2\u6d6a\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u57fa\u7840_\u80a1\u7968\u8f6f\u4ef6"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u6ce2\u6d6a\u7406\u8bba\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u4e0a\u8bc1\u6307\u6570\u5417\uff0c\u600e\u4e48\u7528\u6ce2\u6d6a\u7406\u8bba\u5206\u6790\u4e0a\u8bc1\u6307\u6570<\/p>\n

\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u4e0a\u8bc1 \u5417<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\u7092\u80a1\u8f6f\u4ef6<\/a>     <\/p>\n

\u5206\u6790\u4e94\u5347\u4e09\u964d\u662f\u7684\u57fa\u7840<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \u201c\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u96be\u4ee5\u60f3\u50cf\u4e0e\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u8bf8\u5982\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8427\u6761\u3001\u5927\u8dcc\u4ee5\u53ca\u6218\u540e\u91cd\u5efa\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7e41\u8363\u7b49\uff0c\u6211\u53d1\u73b0\u827e\u7565\u7279\u7684\u6ce2\u6d6a\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u73b0\u5b9e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8109\u52a8\u4e4b\u95f4\u7adf\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u5730\u76f8\u4e92\u5951\u5408\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u827e\u7565\u7279\u6ce2\u6d6a\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u5206\u6790\u3001\u9884\u6d4b\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u6211\u6df1\u5177\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u2014\u2014\u300aThe Elliott Wave Principle\u2014A Critical Appraisal\u300b<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5982\u679c\u7531\u6211\u9009\u51fa\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u6700\u6709\u7684\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u6211\u4f1a\u9009\u201c\u827e\u7565\u7279\u6ce2\u6d6a\u7406\u8bba\u201d\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u662f\u81ea\u7136\u754c\u6ce2\u52a8\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u8fd1\u4f3c\u201c\u6570\u5b66\u8868\u8fbe\u6a21\u578b\u201d\u3002\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\uff0c\u5b83\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u80a1\u5e02\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0d\u5904\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u5c42\u6b21\u4e0a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4ee5\u96c6\u5408\u6765\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u5c31\u5982\u56fe\uff11\u6240\u793a\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u8fd0\u6c14\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u745e\u798f\u5c3c\u68ee\u00b7\u827e\u7565\u7279\uff08Ralph Nelson Elliott\uff09\u7adf\u7136\u5728\u517b\u75c5\u7684\u4e09\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u9053\u00b7\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u7684\u4ed4\u7ec6\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u800c\u53d1\u73b0\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u201c\u6ce2\u6d6a\u7406\u8bba\u201d\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u201c\u9ad8\u5c14\u592b\u7403\u843d\u70b9\u95ee\u9898\u201d\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u65e0\u4ece\u77e5\u9053\u827e\u7565\u7279\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u8bf4\u662f\u4ed6\u7684\u8fd0\u6c14\u800c\u5df2\u3002<\/p>\n


\n<\/center> <\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u00b7\u56fe2\u00b7<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u6ce2\u52a8\u539f\u7406\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u6982\u5ff5\uff1a\u6ce2\u7684\u578b\u6001\u3001\u6ce2\u5e45\u6bd4\u7387\u3001\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u578b\u6001\u3002\u6ce2\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u57fa\u672c\u578b\u6001\uff1a\u63a8\u8fdb\u6ce25\uff0d3-5-3-5\u548c\u8c03\u6574\u6ce25\uff0d3\uff0d5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u6ce2\u6d6a\u7406\u8bba\u4e5f\u79f0\u6ce2\u52a8\u539f\u7406\uff08Wave Principle\uff09\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u827e\u7565\u7279\uff08R\uff0eN\uff0eElliott\uff09\u63d0\u51fa\u793e\u4f1a\u3001\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u5448\u53ef\u8ba4\u77e5\u7684\u578b\u6001\uff08Patterns\uff09\u3002\u5229\u7528\u9053\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\uff08Dow Jones Industrial Average\uff0cDJIA\uff09\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7814\u7a76\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u827e\u7565\u7279\u53d1\u73b0\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u80a1\u4ef7\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u578b\u6001\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u81ea\u7136\u548c\u8c10\u4e4b\u7f8e\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8fd9\u4e00\u53d1\u73b0\u4ed6\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u5206\u6790\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u7cbe\u70bc\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5341\u4e09\u79cd\u578b\u6001\uff08Pattern\uff09\u6216\u8c13\u6ce2\uff08Waves\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u578b\u6001\u91cd\u590d\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u95f4\u9694\u53ca\u5e45\u5ea6\u5927\u5c0f\u5e76\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5177\u6709\u518d\u73b0\u6027\u3002\u5c14\u540e\u4ed6\u53c8\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5448\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u578b\u6001\u4e4b\u56fe\u5f62\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fde\u63a5\u8d77\u6765\u5f62\u6210\u540c\u6837\u578b\u6001\u7684\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u56fe\u5f62\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6743\u5a01\u6027\u7684\u6f14\u8bd1\u6cd5\u5219\u7528\u6765\u89e3\u91ca\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u5e76\u7279\u522b\u5f3a\u8c03\u6ce2\u52a8\u539f\u7406\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4e45\u8d1f\u76db\u540d\u7684\u827e\u7565\u7279\u6ce2\u52a8\u7406\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u6ce2\u52a8\u539f\u7406\u5177\u6709\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u5176\u4e3b\u8981\u7279\u5f81\u662f\u901a\u7528\u6027\u53ca\u51c6\u786e\u6027\uff0e\u901a\u7528\u6027\u8868\u73b0\u5728\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\u80fd\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e5f\u90fd\u9075\u5b88\u6ce2\u52a8\u539f\u7406\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u827e\u7565\u7279\u4e4b\u7814\u7a76\u662f\u7acb\u8db3\u4e8e\u80a1\u5e02\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u80a1\u5e02\u4e0a\u6700\u5e38\u5e94\u7528\u8fd9\u4e00\u539f\u7406\u3002\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u8868\u73b0\u5728\u8fd0\u7528\u6ce2\u52a8\u539f\u7406\u5206\u6790\u5e02\u573a\u53d8\u5316\u65b9\u5411\u65f6\u5e38\u5e38\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u827e\u7565\u7279\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7531\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5947\u5999\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u6709\u7d20\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u5176\u5b8c\u6574\u6027\u548c\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u9002\u5408\u4e8e\u7814\u7a76\u80a1\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u683c\u8fd0\u52a8\u3002\u57281940\u5e74\u90a3\u4e2a\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u9053\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u624d100\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u90a3\u65f6\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9053\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u5f88\u96be\u8d85\u8fc71929\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u4e4b\u5cf0\u9876\uff08Peak\uff09\u3002\u7136\u800c\u827e\u7565\u7279\u5219\u9884\u6d4b\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\u5c06\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u725b\u5e02\uff08Bull Market\uff09\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7\u6240\u6709\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u548c\u671f\u671b\u3002\u540e\u6765\u827e\u7565\u7279\u5728\u80a1\u5e02\u5b8f\u89c2\u53ca\u5fae\u89c2\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u9884\u6d4b\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u8bc1\u5b9e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5173\u4e8e\u827e\u7565\u7279\u6ce2\u52a8\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u54c8\u7c73\u5c14\u987f\uff08Hamilton Bolton\uff09\u66fe\u7ecf\u8bf4\u8fc7\uff1a\u5f53\u9047\u4e0a\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f88\u96be\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u707e\u96be\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8427\u6761\u3001\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u6218\u540e\u91cd\u5efa\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fc7\u70ed\uff0c\u827e\u7565\u7279\u6ce2\u52a8\u539f\u7406\u5f80\u5f80\u90fd\u80fd\u591f\u8f83\u6070\u5f53\u5730\u53cd\u6620\u4e8b\u6001\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u827e\u7565\u7279\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u6709\u5173\u578b\u6001\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\u53ca\u539f\u7406\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e86\u65f6\u95f4\u53ca\u80a1\u5e02\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790\u8005\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u56fe\u8868\u65f6\u591a\u504f\u5411\u4e8e\u5de5\u5177\u4e4b\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5f88\u5c11\u6d89\u53ca\u5176\u539f\u7406\uff0c\u672c\u4e66\u4e2d\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c31\u827e\u7565\u7279\u6ce2\u52a8\u539f\u7406\u8fdb\u884c\u8bba\u8ff0\u3002\u725b\u5e02\u4e2d\u827e\u7565\u7279\u6cd5\u5219\u4e4b\u7126\u70b9\u5728\u4e8e\u8ddf\u8e2a\u53ca\u51c6\u786e\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e94\u4e2a\u6ce2\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8fdb\u7a0b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e09\u4e2a\u5411\u4e0a\u8fd0\u52a8\u7684\u6ce2\uff08Waves Up\uff09\u548c\u4e24\u4e2a\u95f4\u9694\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u5411\u4e0b\u8fd0\u52a8\u7684\u6ce2\uff08Waves Down\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6982\u5ff5\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u73b0\u5728\u901a\u4fd7\u8bf4\u6cd5\u201c\u6240\u6709\u725b\u5e02\u5747\u6709\u4e09\u6761\u817f\u201d\u3002\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\uff0c\u54ea\u91cc\u662f\u725b\u5e02\u4e4b\u817f\uff0c\u6291\u6216\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u662f\u725b\u5e02\uff0c\u6709\u5404\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\uff0c\u6ce2\u52a8\u539f\u7406\u4e2d\u53c8\u5c06\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7684\u817f\u89e3\u91ca\u4e3a\u4e00\u6761\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u817f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u57281938\u5e74\u7684\u8457\u4e66\u300a\u6ce2\u52a8\u539f\u7406\u300b\u548c1939\u5e74\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u827e\u7565\u7279\u6307\u51fa\u80a1\u5e02\u5448\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u97f5\u5f8b\u548c\u578b\u6001\uff0c\u4e94\u4e2a\u4e0a\u5347\u6ce2\u548c\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e0b\u964d\u6ce2\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u516b\u4e2a\u6ce2\u7684\u5b8c\u6574\u5faa\u73af\u3002\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e0b\u964d\u6ce2\u4f5c\u4e3a\u524d\u4e94\u4e2a\u4e0a\u5347\u6ce2\u4e4b\u8c03\u6574\uff08Correction\uff09\uff0c\u56fe2\u8868\u793a\u4e94\u4e2a\u4ee3\u8868\u4e0a\u5347\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u63a8\u8fdb\u6ce2\uff08Impulse Waves\uff09\u548c\u4e09\u4e2a\u8c03\u6574\u6ce2\uff08Corrective Waves\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u8fd9\u91cc\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e00\u4e0b\u672c\u4e66\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u7528\u8bed\u3002\u9996\u51485\u6ce2\u662f\u6307\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531\u56fe2\u4e2d1\u30012\u30013\u30014\u30015\u4e94\u4e2a\u6ce2\u6784\u6210\u7684\u6ce2\u6d6a\uff0c3\u6ce2\u662f\u6307\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531\u56fe2\u4e2da\u3001b\u3001c\u4e09\u4e2a\u6ce2\u6784\u6210\u7684\u6ce2\u6d6a\u3002\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u8bf4\u63a8\u8fdb\u6ce2\u4e3a5-3-5\uff0d3-5\u578b\u6001\u65f6\u5c31\u662f\u6307\u63a8\u8fdb\u6ce2\u53ef\u4ee5\u7531\u4e94\u4e2a\u5b50\u6ce2\u6784\u6210\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e94\u4e2a\u5b50\u6ce2\u53c8\u5206\u522b\u75315\u6ce2\u30013\u6ce2\u30015\u6ce2\u30013\u6ce2\u30015\u6ce2\u6784\u6210\uff0c\u5982\u56fe3\u6240\u793a\u3002\uff08\u80a1\u7968\u8d44\u6e90\u9986lixiangluntan.com\uff09 <\/p>\n

\u7092\u80a1\u6559\u7a0b<\/a><\/p>\n

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