{"id":10906,"date":"2020-01-27T12:24:58","date_gmt":"2020-01-27T04:24:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lixiangluntan.com\/10906.html"},"modified":"2020-01-27T12:24:58","modified_gmt":"2020-01-27T04:24:58","slug":"%e8%bf%88%e5%85%8b%e5%b0%94%ef%bc%9a%e5%af%bb%e6%89%be%e4%b8%8b%e4%b8%80%e5%8f%aa%e5%a4%a7%e7%89%9b%e8%82%a1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lixiangluntan.com\/?p=10906","title":{"rendered":"\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\uff1a\u5bfb\u627e\u4e0b\u4e00\u53ea\u5927\u725b\u80a1"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u516d\u6761\u4ef6\u9009\u80a1<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5c3d\u7ba1\u201c\u6e2f\u80a1\u76f4\u901a\u8f66\u201d\u5c1a\u672a\u901a\u884c\uff0c\u4f46\u5185\u5730\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u901a\u8fc7\u7070\u8272\u9014\u5f84\u7092\u6e2f\u80a1\u65e9\u5df2\u4e0d\u662f\u79d8\u5bc6\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u80a1\u6697\u6d41\u6709\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5f3a\u7684 \u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u662f\u521d\u5165\u5883\u5916\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u501f\u9274\u4ed6\u4eba\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ecf\u9a8c\u8fd8\u662f\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u8282\u9009\u4e00\u6bb5\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37\u8463\u4e8b\u603b\u7ecf\u7406\u517c\u4e9a\u6d32\u533a\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08\u9676\u51ac\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u4ed6\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u6295\u8d44H\u80a1\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

     <\/p>\n

\u3000\u30001992\u5e74\uff0c\u661f\u5df4\u514b\u521a\u521a\u4e0a\u5e02\u540e\uff0c\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u00b7\u83ab\u6709\u5e78\u6210\u4e3a\u6700\u65e9\u53d1\u73b0\u5b83\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5de8\u5927\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u661f\u5df4\u514b\u7684\u603b\u5e02\u503c\u662f2.2\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5f53\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u5199\u4f5c\u300a\u4e0b\u4e00\u53ea\u5927\u725b\u80a1\u300b\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u661f\u5df4\u514b\u7684\u5e02\u503c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86230\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u6709\u4e86\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u624d\u6709\u8d44\u683c\u5199\u4e00\u672c\u6559\u4eba\u5982\u4f55\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u4e66\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u7684\u82f1\u6587\u539f\u540d\u672c\u6765\u5c31\u662f\u300a\u5bfb\u627e\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u661f\u5df4\u514b\u300b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u6210\u7ee9\u662f\u6293\u4f4f\u8c37\u6b4c\uff08Google\uff09\uff0c\u5f53\u8c37\u6b4c\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4ee5\u6bcf\u80a185\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u5e02\u65f6\uff0c\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u6700\u5148\u63a8\u8350\u8d2d\u4e70\u3002\u5f53\u5176\u80a1\u4ef7\u7a81\u7834\u6bcf\u80a1200\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u53c8\u8bf4\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4ef7\u683c\u5f88\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8c37\u6b4c\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6210\u957f\u578b\u4f01\u4e1a\u3002\u5230\u4e862005\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u8c37\u6b4c\u7684\u80a1\u4ef7\u7a81\u7834\u4e86400\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u6210\u7ee9\u8db3\u4ee5\u8ba9\u4f60\u76f8\u4fe1\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u7684\u201c\u529f\u592b\u201d\u5417\uff1f\u6211\u60f3\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fd8\u662f\u4e0d\u591f\u7684\u3002\u8c01\u77e5\u9053\u5462\uff1f\u4e5f\u8bb8\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u53ea\u662f\u8fd0\u6c14\u597d\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u548c\u5f7c\u5f97\u00b7\u6797\u5947\u4e00\u6837\u5bfb\u627e\u6210\u957f\u80a1\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u8fd8\u662f\u503c\u5f97\u501f\u9274\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000T. Rowe Price\u91d1\u878d\u96c6\u56e2\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u526f\u603b\u88c1\u6770\u514b\u00b7\u62c9\u6ce2\u7279\u5982\u6b64\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff1a\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u7684\u4f5c\u54c1\u5145\u6ee1\u4e86\u201c\u6295\u8d44\u6210\u957f\u578b\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u771f\u77e5\u707c\u89c1\u201d\u3002\u6ca1\u9519\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8981\u5bfb\u627e\u6210\u957f\u80a1\uff0c\u300a\u5546\u4e1a\u5468\u520a\u300b\u8d44\u6df1\u64b0\u7a3f\u4eba\u91d1\u00b7\u9a6c\u590f\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e00\u68f5\u53c2\u5929\u5927\u6811\u603b\u8981\u4ece\u4e00\u7c92\u79cd\u5b50\u5f00\u59cb\u53d1\u82bd\uff0c\u800c\u6536\u76ca\u6700\u53ef\u89c2\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u603b\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u80fd\u6210\u957f\u4e3a\u5927\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u53d1\u73b0\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\u80a1\u5c31\u53d8\u5f97\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u8bfb\u300a\u4e0b\u4e00\u53ea\u5927\u725b\u80a1\u300b\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u6210\u4e3a\u4e0a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6c83\u4f26\u00b7\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u6216\u5f7c\u5f97\u00b7\u6797\u5947\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u80fd\u638c\u63e1\u53d1\u73b0\u4e0b\u4e00\u53ea\u70ed\u95e8\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u5fc5\u5907\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u5199\u4f5c\u300a\u4e0b\u4e00\u53ea\u5927\u725b\u80a1\u300b\u7684\u76ee\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u548c\u5927\u5bb6\u5206\u4eab\u4ed620\u591a\u5e74\u5b66\u5230\u7684\u5982\u4f55\u9274\u522b\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u90a3\u4e9b\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\u6210\u4e3a\u5927\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u4ed6\u79f0\u4e4b\u4e3a\u201c\u672a\u6765\u4e4b\u661f\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5bfb\u627e\u6700\u597d\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5c31\u662f\u5bfb\u627e\u6700\u597d\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e00\u53ea\u80a1\u7968\u957f\u671f\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u662f\u5206\u4e0d\u5f00\u7684\u3002\u771f\u6b63\u4e86\u4e0d\u8d77\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5728\u5b9e\u73b0\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u90fd\u8bb2\u7a76\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u4f5c\u54c1\u4e2d\u5c31\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u6846\u67b6\u4ee5\u53ca\u6295\u8d44\u6210\u957f\u80a1\u7684\u201c\u5341\u8beb\u201d\u3001\u6bcf\u4e2a\u51fa\u8272\u7684\u6210\u957f\u578b\u4f01\u4e1a\u5fc5\u987b\u5177\u5907\u76844P\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u201c\u5341\u8beb\u201d\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u5462\uff1f\u5176\u5b9e\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u6cd5\u5219\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6cd5\u5219\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u4f1a\u4e3a\u4eca\u540e\u63d0\u9ad8\u6295\u8d44\u6536\u76ca\u6253\u4e0b\u57fa\u7840\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u8981\u628a\u57fa\u672c\u539f\u7406\u641e\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u589e\u957f\u63a8\u52a8\u80a1\u4ef7\u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002\u4ece\u957f\u8fdc\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u4e0e\u5176\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u6709\u7740100% \u7684\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8981\u91cd\u70b9\u5173\u6ce8\u589e\u957f\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u8981\u4e3b\u52a8\u51fa\u51fb\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u88ab\u52a8\u56de\u5e94\u3002\u8981\u5f80\u524d\u770b\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u9884\u6d4b\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5411\u624d\u80fd\u5c3d\u65e9\u627e\u5230\u8d62\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u8981\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u8981\u50f5\u5316\u3002\u8981\u67e5\u770b\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u5176\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u652f\u6301\u4f60\u7684\u201c\u77ac\u95f4\u201d\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u56db\uff0c\u8981\u6562\u4e8e\u627f\u8ba4\u9519\u8bef\u3002\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u8bda\u5b9e\uff0c\u8981\u770b\u5230\u4e8b\u5b9e\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u9760\u5e0c\u671b\u548c\u60f3\u50cf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u4e94\uff0c\u87d1\u8782\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u623f\u95f4\u91cc\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u53ea\u87d1\u8782\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u4f60\u53d1\u73b0\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5c31\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u80cc\u540e\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u8fde\u4e32\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u516d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u4fe1\u606f\u548c\u6d1e\u5bdf\u529b\uff0c\u4fe1\u606f\u8d35\u5728\u80fd\u591f\u72ec\u4eab\uff0c\u6d1e\u5bdf\u529b\u8d35\u5728\u80fd\u591f\u4e86\u89e3\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u542b\u4e49\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u4e03\uff0c4\u4e2aP\u7406\u8bba\u30024P\u5c31\u662f\u8003\u5bdf\u4f01\u4e1a\u76844\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5458\u5de5\uff08people\uff09\u3001\u4ea7\u54c1\uff08product\uff09\u3001\u6f5c\u529b\uff08potential\uff09\u548c\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\uff08predictability\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u516b\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u6bcf\u53ea\u80a1\u7968\u90fd\u8981\u67095\u4e2a\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u4e5d\uff0c\u5f04\u6e05\u695a\u80a1\u4ef7\u6da8\u8dcc\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7b2c\u5341\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8fc7\u7a0b\u8981\u6709\u70ed\u60c5\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5bf9\u5f85\u6295\u8d44\u8981\u51b7\u9759\u3002\u80a1\u7968\u6ca1\u6709\u60c5\u611f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u8fd9\u201c\u5341\u8beb\u201d\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u8981\u62db\u62db\u7528\u5230\u5462\uff1f\u4e5f\u4e0d\u89c1\u5f97\u3002\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u6709\u4ed6\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u7b56\u7565\u603b\u5f52\u662f\u7528\u6765\u53c2\u8003\u7684\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u201c\u5f04\u6e05\u695a\u80a1\u4ef7\u6da8\u8dcc\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u201d\u4e00\u6761\uff0c\u5728\u8457\u540d\u7684\u300a\u80a1\u7968\u4f5c\u624b\u56de\u5fc6\u5f55\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5c31\u7528\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u7ae0\u7684\u9898\u76ee\u6765\u544a\u8beb\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff1a\u4e00\u53ea\u80a1\u7968\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\uff0c\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u82b1\u65f6\u95f4\u53bb\u89e3\u91ca\u5b83\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6309\u7167\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u53bb\u5bfb\u627e\u6210\u957f\u80a1\uff0c\u5c31\u6700\u597d\u4f9d\u8d56\u4ed6\u63d0\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u201c\u53d1\u73b0\u6f6e\u6d41\u3001\u5229\u7528\u6f6e\u6d41\u201d\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u5c31\u662f\u8981\u987a\u5e94\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u6240\u8c13\u5927\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u6307\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u6280\u672f\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u529b\u91cf\u7531\u6697\u6d41\uff08\u65e9\u671f\u91c7\u7528\uff09\u8fdb\u5165\u4e3b\u6d41\uff08\u5927\u4f17\u5e02\u573a\uff09\uff0c\u6253\u7834\u73b0\u72b6\uff08\u6210\u719f\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff09\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u53d8\u9769\u548c\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u4e3a\u4f01\u4e1a\u3001\u884c\u4e1a\u4e43\u81f3\u6574\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e26\u6765\u6210\u957f\u673a\u9047\u3002<\/p>\n

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